ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM FABIO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072006 0900 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FABIO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 152N 1264W 34 54 11(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 12 152N 1264W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 152N 1264W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 157N 1290W 34 1 44(45) 9(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) X(54) 24 157N 1290W 50 X 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 157N 1290W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 162N 1317W 34 X 5( 5) 29(34) 9(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) 36 162N 1317W 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 162N 1317W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 165N 1340W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 19(27) 5(32) X(32) X(32) 48 165N 1340W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 165N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 165N 1380W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 4(16) X(16) 72 165N 1380W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 165N 1380W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 165N 1430W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 96 165N 1430W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 165N 1430W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 165N 1480W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 165N 1480W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 165N 1480W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 45 35 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC