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Tropical Storm FABIO (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM FABIO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006
1500 UTC TUE AUG 01 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 125.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 125.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 125.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.3N 127.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.8N 130.3W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.2N 133.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 16.4N 135.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N 145.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 16.5N 150.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 125.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH
 
 
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