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Tropical Depression FABIO (Text)

ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072006
800 AM PDT THU AUG 03 2006
 
FABIO CONTINUES TO BE DEVOID OF DEEP CONVECTION AND CONSISTS
PRIMARILY OF A SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS.  THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS HELD
AT 30 KT BASED ON THE TYPICAL SPIN DOWN RATE AND AN EARLIER
QUIKSCAT PASS. GIVEN THE DEPRESSION IS STILL OVER SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES OF 26 C OR GREATER...SOME INTERMITTENT ISOLATED
CONVECTION IS STILL POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE WEAKENING AND BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN 12 HOURS.
 
FABIO IS CURRENTLY MOVING DUE WEST OR 270/15.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
MAINTAINS THIS MOTION THROUGH 36 HOURS AT WHICH TIME DISSIPATION IS
EXPECTED. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FROM THE PREVIOUS TRACK.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      03/1500Z 15.1N 137.3W    30 KT
 12HR VT     04/0000Z 15.1N 139.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     04/1200Z 15.1N 142.7W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     05/0000Z 15.1N 145.8W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     05/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH
 
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