ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 0900 UTC WED JUL 26 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 18 15(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) P ABREOJOS 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LA PAZ 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 8 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BAHIA KINO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUAYMAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 252N 1135W 34 86 3(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 252N 1135W 50 23 5(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 12 252N 1135W 64 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 263N 1150W 34 12 30(42) 3(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 24 263N 1150W 50 X 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 263N 1150W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 270N 1167W 34 2 7( 9) 10(19) 1(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 270N 1167W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 270N 1167W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 275N 1180W 34 1 1( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) 48 275N 1180W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 275N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 280N 1195W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 280N 1195W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 280N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 40 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC