Tropical Storm EMILIA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
0300 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9)
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 17(28) 9(37) X(37) X(37)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 15(23) 7(30) 1(31) X(31)
SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 10(21) 1(22) X(22)
LA PAZ 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
LORETO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
CULICAN 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11)
MAZATLAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
SAN BLAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
P VALLARTA 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 11(23) 5(28) 1(29) X(29)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) X( 8)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 185N 1063W 34 50 18(68) 1(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70)
12 185N 1063W 50 11 7(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
12 185N 1063W 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 197N 1080W 34 1 51(52) 13(65) 4(69) X(69) 1(70) X(70)
24 197N 1080W 50 X 16(16) 11(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29)
24 197N 1080W 64 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
36 205N 1095W 34 X 11(11) 42(53) 13(66) 4(70) X(70) X(70)
36 205N 1095W 50 X 2( 2) 18(20) 10(30) 2(32) X(32) X(32)
36 205N 1095W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11)
48 212N 1110W 34 X 1( 1) 24(25) 26(51) 12(63) 1(64) X(64)
48 212N 1110W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 8(28) X(28) X(28)
48 212N 1110W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11)
72 230N 1140W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 27(36) 6(42) 1(43)
72 230N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) X(15)
72 230N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
96 245N 1165W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) 1(20)
96 245N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
96 245N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 260N 1200W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6)
120 260N 1200W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
120 260N 1200W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 45 55 65 75 65 45 25
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN