Tropical Depression SIX-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
2100 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 10(23) 2(25)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 133N 1036W 34 15 8(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 1(25) X(25)
12 133N 1036W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 133N 1036W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 145N 1050W 34 1 21(22) 9(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34) 1(35)
24 145N 1050W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
24 145N 1050W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 155N 1065W 34 X 4( 4) 22(26) 9(35) 3(38) X(38) 1(39)
36 155N 1065W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
36 155N 1065W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
48 165N 1080W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 17(25) 8(33) 1(34) 1(35)
48 165N 1080W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 1(10)
48 165N 1080W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 180N 1100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 13(21) 7(28) 2(30)
72 180N 1100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
72 180N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
96 200N 1130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 4(18)
96 200N 1130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
96 200N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 220N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10)
120 220N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 220N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 40 45 45 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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