Tropical Depression SIX-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006
1500 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 10(19) 3(22)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4)
ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 5(10)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 123N 1035W 34 15 11(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
12 123N 1035W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
12 123N 1035W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 130N 1045W 34 3 20(23) 7(30) 1(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32)
24 130N 1045W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 130N 1045W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 140N 1060W 34 X 5( 5) 16(21) 9(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33)
36 140N 1060W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
36 140N 1060W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
48 150N 1075W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 15(21) 8(29) 1(30) 1(31)
48 150N 1075W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 150N 1075W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 170N 1095W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 16(20) 7(27) 2(29)
72 170N 1095W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8)
72 170N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
96 190N 1120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) 4(18)
96 190N 1120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
96 190N 1120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 220N 1150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9)
120 220N 1150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 220N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 40 45 45 45
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
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