ZCZC MIATCPEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062006 200 PM PDT SAT JUL 22 2006 ...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED AS EMILIA MOVES CLOSER TO MEXICO... AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24-36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 560 MILES... 900 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO. EMILIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER... JUST A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CLOSE TO THE MEXICAN COAST. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED LATER TONIGHT IF THE EXPECTED TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST DOES NOT OCCUR AS QUICKLY AS FORECAST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES. EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...104.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800 PM PDT. $$ FORECASTER STEWART NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC