Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
200 PM PDT SAT JUL 22 2006

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED AS EMILIA MOVES CLOSER TO MEXICO...
 
AT 2 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM
MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 24-36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AT 200 PM PDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EMILIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.6 WEST OR ABOUT 175
MILES...280 KM...SOUTH OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 560 MILES...
900 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
EMILIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER
TONIGHT OR MONDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF EMILIA IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL OFFSHORE THE COAST OF MEXICO.  HOWEVER...
JUST A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE RIGHT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD
BRING THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...CLOSE TO THE
MEXICAN COAST.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE REQUIRED LATER
TONIGHT IF THE EXPECTED TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST DOES NOT
OCCUR AS QUICKLY AS FORECAST.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
EMILIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM PUNTA SAN TELMO
NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR
6 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
REPEATING THE 200 PM PDT POSITION...16.5 N...104.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 500 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 800
PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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