Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
1500 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006
 
AT 800 PDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM
BUENAVISTA TO BAHIA MAGDALENA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 200SE 150SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.6N 111.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.3N 111.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 21.8N 112.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 23.3N 114.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 24.3N 115.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 25.2N 116.8W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 25.8N 119.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.6N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/BEVEN
 
 
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