Tropical Storm EMILIA

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TROPICAL STORM EMILIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
0900 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 104.0W AT 22/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 104.0W AT 22/0900Z
AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 103.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.6N 104.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.8N 106.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.8N 108.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.7N 109.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 19.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 21.0N 114.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 23.0N 117.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 104.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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