Tropical Depression EMILIA

ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA DISCUSSION NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062006
200 AM PDT THU JUL 27 2006
 
AN EARLIER QUIKSCAT PASS...ABOUT 0130 UTC...SHOWED A FEW VECTORS OF
35 TO 40 KT WINDS. SINCE THEN...THE CLOUD PATTERN HAS DETERIORATED
SIGNIFICANTLY AND IT IS NOW SHAPELESS AND THE CYCLONE IS VOID OF
DEEP CONVECTION. THEREFORE...THE INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED
TO 30 KT. FURTHER WEAKENING OVER COOL WATER IS FORECAST.

EMILIA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11
KNOTS. A TURN MORE TO THE WEST IS ANTICIPATED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN
A DAY OR TWO.

 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/0900Z 26.4N 116.7W    30 KT
 12HR VT     27/1800Z 27.2N 118.4W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/0600Z 27.5N 120.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     28/1800Z 27.5N 122.0W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
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FORECASTER AVILA
 
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