ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0900 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 2 5( 7) 9(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 7(18) 4(22) X(22) X(22) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 9(16) 2(18) BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 6(11) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 5(10) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 165N 1412W 34 95 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 165N 1412W 50 74 9(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 12 165N 1412W 64 39 13(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 169N 1428W 34 24 57(81) 6(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 24 169N 1428W 50 3 44(47) 9(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 24 169N 1428W 64 1 20(21) 6(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 36 173N 1445W 34 2 27(29) 30(59) 8(67) 2(69) X(69) 1(70) 36 173N 1445W 50 X 6( 6) 21(27) 5(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 36 173N 1445W 64 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 48 177N 1462W 34 X 5( 5) 22(27) 17(44) 9(53) 1(54) X(54) 48 177N 1462W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) 48 177N 1462W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 185N 1500W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 21(25) 6(31) 1(32) 72 185N 1500W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 185N 1500W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 96 195N 1540W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17) 96 195N 1540W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 96 195N 1540W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 210N 1585W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 210N 1585W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 210N 1585W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 75 65 60 55 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER PASCH NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC