ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 6(10) 6(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 8(15) 8(23) 1(24) X(24) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 5(11) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 4( 8) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 163N 1403W 34 95 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 163N 1403W 50 74 10(84) X(84) 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 12 163N 1403W 64 37 16(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 24 168N 1420W 34 18 61(79) 7(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 24 168N 1420W 50 3 43(46) 8(54) 1(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) 24 168N 1420W 64 X 20(20) 5(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 36 172N 1435W 34 2 31(33) 26(59) 7(66) 3(69) X(69) X(69) 36 172N 1435W 50 X 8( 8) 19(27) 4(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) 36 172N 1435W 64 X 2( 2) 7( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 48 177N 1451W 34 1 5( 6) 22(28) 16(44) 9(53) X(53) 1(54) 48 177N 1451W 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 1(19) X(19) 48 177N 1451W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 185N 1485W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 19(25) 7(32) 1(33) 72 185N 1485W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 185N 1485W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 195N 1525W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) 96 195N 1525W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 96 195N 1525W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 210N 1570W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 210N 1570W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 210N 1570W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 75 65 60 55 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC