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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  29                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0300 UTC MON JUL 24 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
15.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 138.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  1   3( 4)   6(10)   6(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   5( 7)   8(15)   8(23)   1(24)   X(24)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   2(12)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
 
BUOY 50002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 163N 1403W 34 95   2(97)   1(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
 12 163N 1403W 50 74  10(84)   X(84)   1(85)   X(85)   X(85)   X(85)
 12 163N 1403W 64 37  16(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
 24 168N 1420W 34 18  61(79)   7(86)   1(87)   X(87)   X(87)   X(87)
 24 168N 1420W 50  3  43(46)   8(54)   1(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 168N 1420W 64  X  20(20)   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
 36 172N 1435W 34  2  31(33)  26(59)   7(66)   3(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 36 172N 1435W 50  X   8( 8)  19(27)   4(31)   2(33)   X(33)   X(33)
 36 172N 1435W 64  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 48 177N 1451W 34  1   5( 6)  22(28)  16(44)   9(53)   X(53)   1(54)
 48 177N 1451W 50  X   1( 1)   4( 5)  10(15)   3(18)   1(19)   X(19)
 48 177N 1451W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
 72 185N 1485W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  19(25)   7(32)   1(33)
 72 185N 1485W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 72 185N 1485W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 96 195N 1525W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   3(17)
 96 195N 1525W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 96 195N 1525W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
 
120 210N 1570W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
120 210N 1570W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 210N 1570W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     85     75      65      60      55      50      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:41 UTC