Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
2100 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
15.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 6(15) 2(17) X(17)
15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
20N 145W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 11(18) 3(21) 1(22)
20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7)
HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 157N 1388W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 157N 1388W 50 81 6(87) 1(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
12 157N 1388W 64 43 16(59) X(59) X(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60)
24 162N 1404W 34 43 44(87) 4(91) X(91) 1(92) X(92) X(92)
24 162N 1404W 50 5 47(52) 7(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
24 162N 1404W 64 1 25(26) 5(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
36 167N 1418W 34 3 41(44) 23(67) 4(71) 3(74) 1(75) X(75)
36 167N 1418W 50 X 11(11) 20(31) 4(35) 2(37) X(37) X(37)
36 167N 1418W 64 X 2( 2) 10(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
48 172N 1430W 34 2 11(13) 27(40) 11(51) 6(57) 1(58) 1(59)
48 172N 1430W 50 X 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 3(22) 1(23) X(23)
48 172N 1430W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
72 181N 1457W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) 17(28) 6(34) 1(35)
72 181N 1457W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9)
72 181N 1457W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
96 193N 1495W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 4(17)
96 193N 1495W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
96 193N 1495W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 205N 1545W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7)
120 205N 1545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 205N 1545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 95 80 70 60 55 50 50
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
NNNN
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