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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0900 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 134.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   1(11)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   7(12)   3(15)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 150N 1359W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 150N 1359W 50 82   7(89)   1(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
 12 150N 1359W 64 45  16(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 
 24 156N 1377W 34 33  55(88)   5(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 24 156N 1377W 50  3  52(55)   8(63)   1(64)   X(64)   X(64)   X(64)
 24 156N 1377W 64  X  25(25)   9(34)   X(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 36 160N 1392W 34  2  43(45)  27(72)   4(76)   3(79)   X(79)   X(79)
 36 160N 1392W 50  X  11(11)  25(36)   5(41)   2(43)   X(43)   X(43)
 36 160N 1392W 64  X   3( 3)  14(17)   2(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)
 
 48 164N 1402W 34  1  16(17)  34(51)   9(60)   6(66)   1(67)   X(67)
 48 164N 1402W 50  X   2( 2)  16(18)   9(27)   4(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 48 164N 1402W 64  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 
 72 172N 1420W 34  X   2( 2)  12(14)  12(26)  12(38)   5(43)   1(44)
 72 172N 1420W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   6(11)   2(13)   1(14)
 72 172N 1420W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 185N 1450W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   7(15)   3(18)
 96 185N 1450W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 96 185N 1450W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 200N 1500W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
120 200N 1500W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 200N 1500W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    100     90      80      70      60      50      40
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER RHOME/PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC