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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
1500 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 130.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   2( 8)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 142N 1325W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 142N 1325W 50 91   5(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 142N 1325W 64 72  11(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 146N 1345W 34 25  62(87)   7(94)   X(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 146N 1345W 50  4  63(67)   9(76)   1(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 146N 1345W 64  1  42(43)  12(55)   X(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 
 36 151N 1364W 34  2  31(33)  41(74)   8(82)   2(84)   1(85)   X(85)
 36 151N 1364W 50  X   9( 9)  38(47)   9(56)   2(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 36 151N 1364W 64  X   3( 3)  24(27)   7(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 48 156N 1380W 34  X   6( 6)  33(39)  22(61)  11(72)   X(72)   1(73)
 48 156N 1380W 50  X   X( X)  15(15)  18(33)   6(39)   X(39)   1(40)
 48 156N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  11(16)   5(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 
 72 165N 1402W 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  16(22)  21(43)   5(48)   1(49)
 72 165N 1402W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  11(18)   2(20)   1(21)
 72 165N 1402W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 175N 1425W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  12(15)   9(24)   1(25)
 96 175N 1425W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)
 96 175N 1425W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 190N 1455W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   3( 9)
120 190N 1455W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 190N 1455W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    120    110     100      90      75      60      50
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC