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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0300 UTC SAT JUL 22 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
130 KTS...150 MPH...240 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 139N 1300W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 139N 1300W 50 92   4(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 139N 1300W 64 72  11(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 
 24 143N 1318W 34 34  54(88)   6(94)   X(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 143N 1318W 50  6  63(69)   8(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 24 143N 1318W 64  1  44(45)  10(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 
 36 148N 1335W 34  2  36(38)  36(74)   4(78)   2(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 36 148N 1335W 50  X  13(13)  36(49)   4(53)   2(55)   X(55)   X(55)
 36 148N 1335W 64  X   5( 5)  23(28)   4(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
 48 152N 1347W 34  1   9(10)  39(49)  11(60)   5(65)   1(66)   X(66)
 48 152N 1347W 50  X   2( 2)  20(22)   9(31)   3(34)   1(35)   X(35)
 48 152N 1347W 64  X   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
 
 72 159N 1365W 34  X   1( 1)  13(14)  13(27)  10(37)   3(40)   X(40)
 72 159N 1365W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   1(13)   X(13)
 72 159N 1365W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
 
 96 175N 1380W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   8(14)   3(17)   1(18)
 96 175N 1380W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 96 175N 1380W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 195N 1405W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)
120 195N 1405W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 195N 1405W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    130    120     100      75      55      45      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER FRANKLIN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
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