Hurricane DANIEL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0900 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
13.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR.                                      
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 136N 1267W 34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 136N 1267W 50 91   4(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 12 136N 1267W 64 68  12(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 
 24 141N 1285W 34 36  53(89)   5(94)   1(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
 24 141N 1285W 50  4  61(65)   9(74)   1(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 24 141N 1285W 64  1  40(41)  10(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
 
 36 145N 1303W 34  2  36(38)  35(73)   8(81)   2(83)   X(83)   X(83)
 36 145N 1303W 50  X  10(10)  33(43)   9(52)   1(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 36 145N 1303W 64  X   3( 3)  21(24)   6(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 48 150N 1320W 34  X   6( 6)  30(36)  22(58)  10(68)   X(68)   X(68)
 48 150N 1320W 50  X   X( X)  12(12)  16(28)   6(34)   X(34)   X(34)
 48 150N 1320W 64  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
 
 72 160N 1355W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  21(29)   4(33)   1(34)
 72 160N 1355W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   X(10)
 72 160N 1355W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 170N 1375W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   5(17)   X(17)
 96 170N 1375W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 96 170N 1375W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 185N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
120 185N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
120 185N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    115    105      90      80      60      45      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN                                                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN