ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 2100 UTC THU JUL 20 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...135 MPH...215 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 131N 1246W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 131N 1246W 50 85 7(92) 1(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) 12 131N 1246W 64 70 10(80) X(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 24 136N 1261W 34 54 37(91) 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 136N 1261W 50 7 54(61) 10(71) 1(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) 24 136N 1261W 64 2 41(43) 11(54) 1(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 36 141N 1279W 34 2 35(37) 38(75) 8(83) 2(85) X(85) X(85) 36 141N 1279W 50 X 9( 9) 35(44) 9(53) 1(54) X(54) X(54) 36 141N 1279W 64 X 3( 3) 24(27) 6(33) 1(34) X(34) X(34) 48 146N 1296W 34 X 6( 6) 32(38) 22(60) 10(70) 1(71) X(71) 48 146N 1296W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 16(28) 7(35) 1(36) X(36) 48 146N 1296W 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 4(19) X(19) X(19) 72 155N 1330W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 23(32) 6(38) 1(39) 72 155N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) 72 155N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) 96 165N 1355W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) 2(19) 96 165N 1355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 96 165N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 180N 1375W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) 120 180N 1375W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 180N 1375W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 120 110 100 85 65 55 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC