ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0900 UTC THU JUL 20 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 124N 1231W 34 98 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 124N 1231W 50 86 7(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 124N 1231W 64 64 12(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 24 130N 1246W 34 49 41(90) 6(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 24 130N 1246W 50 6 58(64) 11(75) 1(76) X(76) X(76) X(76) 24 130N 1246W 64 2 40(42) 11(53) 2(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 36 135N 1263W 34 2 37(39) 37(76) 9(85) 3(88) X(88) X(88) 36 135N 1263W 50 X 11(11) 37(48) 10(58) 2(60) X(60) X(60) 36 135N 1263W 64 X 4( 4) 25(29) 8(37) 2(39) X(39) X(39) 48 140N 1280W 34 X 6( 6) 32(38) 26(64) 11(75) 1(76) X(76) 48 140N 1280W 50 X X( X) 13(13) 21(34) 9(43) 1(44) X(44) 48 140N 1280W 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 13(19) 5(24) X(24) X(24) 72 150N 1310W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) 28(43) 6(49) 1(50) 72 150N 1310W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 14(17) 3(20) X(20) 72 150N 1310W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 96 160N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 12(23) 2(25) 96 160N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 96 160N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 120 170N 1370W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 120 170N 1370W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 170N 1370W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 110 115 110 100 80 65 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/BEVEN NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC