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Hurricane DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0300 UTC THU JUL 20 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
12.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                       
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 122N 1221W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 122N 1221W 50 86   7(93)   X(93)   1(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 122N 1221W 64 65  12(77)   X(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
 
 24 127N 1236W 34 50  40(90)   5(95)   1(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
 24 127N 1236W 50  7  55(62)  11(73)   2(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)
 24 127N 1236W 64  2  39(41)  10(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 
 36 132N 1251W 34  3  42(45)  32(77)   8(85)   3(88)   X(88)   X(88)
 36 132N 1251W 50  X  14(14)  34(48)  11(59)   2(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 36 132N 1251W 64  X   5( 5)  24(29)   9(38)   1(39)   X(39)   X(39)
 
 48 138N 1269W 34  1   5( 6)  30(36)  28(64)  12(76)   1(77)   X(77)
 48 138N 1269W 50  X   X( X)  11(11)  23(34)   9(43)   1(44)   X(44)
 48 138N 1269W 64  X   X( X)   5( 5)  13(18)   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
 
 72 145N 1300W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  29(43)   7(50)   1(51)
 72 145N 1300W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   3(20)   X(20)
 72 145N 1300W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
 
 
 96 155N 1330W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  12(23)   2(25)
 96 155N 1330W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)
 96 155N 1330W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
120 170N 1360W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   4(10)
120 170N 1360W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
120 170N 1360W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND    105    110     110     100      80      65      55
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BLAKE/FRANKLIN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC