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Hurricane DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
1500 UTC WED JUL 19 2006
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 119.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 120N 1207W 34 97 2(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
12 120N 1207W 50 80 9(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) X(90)
12 120N 1207W 64 47 16(63) 1(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
24 124N 1223W 34 40 48(88) 6(94) 2(96) X(96) X(96) X(96)
24 124N 1223W 50 4 55(59) 10(69) 2(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
24 124N 1223W 64 1 32(33) 11(44) 2(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
36 128N 1239W 34 2 39(41) 35(76) 8(84) 3(87) X(87) 1(88)
36 128N 1239W 50 X 11(11) 35(46) 10(56) 3(59) X(59) X(59)
36 128N 1239W 64 X 3( 3) 21(24) 9(33) 2(35) X(35) X(35)
48 132N 1258W 34 X 5( 5) 28(33) 30(63) 13(76) 1(77) X(77)
48 132N 1258W 50 X X( X) 10(10) 24(34) 11(45) X(45) X(45)
48 132N 1258W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23)
72 140N 1295W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 33(41) 9(50) 2(52)
72 140N 1295W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 4(21) X(21)
72 140N 1295W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9)
96 148N 1330W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 3(27)
96 148N 1330W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8)
96 148N 1330W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
120 160N 1360W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11)
120 160N 1360W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
120 160N 1360W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 95 105 105 100 85 70 60
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
NNNN
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