ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006 0300 UTC WED JUL 19 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 118.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 120N 1199W 34 96 2(98) X(98) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 120N 1199W 50 76 10(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) 12 120N 1199W 64 38 16(54) 2(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 24 122N 1215W 34 36 50(86) 7(93) 1(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 24 122N 1215W 50 4 52(56) 12(68) 1(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) 24 122N 1215W 64 1 26(27) 11(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) 36 126N 1233W 34 2 31(33) 41(74) 9(83) 4(87) X(87) X(87) 36 126N 1233W 50 X 7( 7) 38(45) 10(55) 4(59) X(59) X(59) 36 126N 1233W 64 X 2( 2) 20(22) 9(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) 48 130N 1250W 34 1 4( 5) 32(37) 28(65) 14(79) 2(81) X(81) 48 130N 1250W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 23(35) 12(47) 1(48) X(48) 48 130N 1250W 64 X X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 9(25) X(25) X(25) 72 137N 1285W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 38(48) 11(59) 2(61) 72 137N 1285W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 19(21) 7(28) X(28) 72 137N 1285W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) 1(15) 96 145N 1320W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 21(32) 4(36) 96 145N 1320W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 1(12) 96 145N 1320W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) 120 155N 1355W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 6(15) 120 155N 1355W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 120 155N 1355W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 90 100 100 100 85 70 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:40 UTC