Tropical Storm DANIEL

ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0900 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR.                             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 122N 1167W 34 92   4(96)   1(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
 12 122N 1167W 50 51  17(68)   1(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)   X(69)
 12 122N 1167W 64 18  12(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 24 122N 1185W 34 13  67(80)   9(89)   1(90)   1(91)   X(91)   X(91)
 24 122N 1185W 50  1  44(45)  13(58)   2(60)   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)
 24 122N 1185W 64  X  18(18)  10(28)   2(30)   X(30)   X(30)   X(30)
 
 36 122N 1203W 34  2  26(28)  40(68)  12(80)   4(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 36 122N 1203W 50  X   5( 5)  32(37)  12(49)   4(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 36 122N 1203W 64  X   1( 1)  17(18)   7(25)   3(28)   X(28)   X(28)
 
 48 125N 1220W 34  X   5( 5)  30(35)  28(63)  14(77)   3(80)   X(80)
 48 125N 1220W 50  X   X( X)  10(10)  23(33)  10(43)   1(44)   1(45)
 48 125N 1220W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   8(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 
 
 72 130N 1250W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  34(49)  11(60)   2(62)
 72 130N 1250W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)   7(28)   1(29)
 72 130N 1250W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   1(16)
 
 
 96 135N 1280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  22(36)   4(40)
 96 135N 1280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)   2(14)
 96 135N 1280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)
 
 
120 145N 1310W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   9(22)
120 145N 1310W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
120 145N 1310W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     75      85      95      95      90      80
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN