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Tropical Storm DANIEL
ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052006
2100 UTC MON JUL 17 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 124N 1141W 34 64 16(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
12 124N 1141W 50 18 12(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31)
12 124N 1141W 64 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
24 124N 1160W 34 1 58(59) 14(73) 3(76) 1(77) X(77) 1(78)
24 124N 1160W 50 X 22(22) 12(34) 2(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
24 124N 1160W 64 X 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12)
36 124N 1178W 34 X 12(12) 45(57) 11(68) 7(75) 1(76) X(76)
36 124N 1178W 50 X 2( 2) 22(24) 10(34) 5(39) X(39) 1(40)
36 124N 1178W 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) 2(17) 1(18) X(18)
48 124N 1191W 34 X 2( 2) 30(32) 21(53) 17(70) 3(73) X(73)
48 124N 1191W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) 16(24) 12(36) 1(37) 1(38)
48 124N 1191W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 6(15) 1(16) X(16)
72 127N 1220W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 34(48) 11(59) 3(62)
72 127N 1220W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 7(27) 2(29)
72 127N 1220W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 5(14) 1(15)
96 132N 1247W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 22(39) 7(46)
96 132N 1247W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18)
96 132N 1247W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8)
120 140N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 11(25)
120 140N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7)
120 140N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50 60 70 80 95 95 90
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER RHOME/STEWART
NNNN
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