Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Storm DANIEL


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3           
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
1500 UTC MON JUL 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 126N 1136W 34 67  13(80)   1(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
 12 126N 1136W 50 12   8(20)   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)
 12 126N 1136W 64  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 24 126N 1153W 34  7  56(63)  13(76)   3(79)   X(79)   1(80)   X(80)
 24 126N 1153W 50  X  18(18)  12(30)   2(32)   X(32)   1(33)   X(33)
 24 126N 1153W 64  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
 36 126N 1169W 34  X  23(23)  36(59)  12(71)   5(76)   X(76)   X(76)
 36 126N 1169W 50  X   2( 2)  20(22)  10(32)   3(35)   1(36)   X(36)
 36 126N 1169W 64  X   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
 48 127N 1188W 34  X   3( 3)  22(25)  28(53)  17(70)   2(72)   1(73)
 48 127N 1188W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)  11(31)   2(33)   X(33)
 48 127N 1188W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   1(14)   X(14)
 
 
 72 129N 1215W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)  32(48)  11(59)   2(61)
 72 129N 1215W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  16(19)   8(27)   1(28)
 72 129N 1215W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   5(13)   1(14)
 
 
 96 130N 1245W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)  22(36)   7(43)
 96 130N 1245W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   3(15)
 96 130N 1245W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
120 135N 1275W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  10(25)
120 135N 1275W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
120 135N 1275W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     55      65      75      90      90      85
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN