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Tropical Depression FIVE-E


ZCZC MIAPWSEP5 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2      
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006               
0900 UTC MON JUL 17 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR  
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
 
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
                  GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 125N 1125W 34 32  17(49)   1(50)   1(51)   X(51)   X(51)   X(51)
 12 125N 1125W 50  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 12 125N 1125W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 127N 1145W 34  1  41(42)  13(55)   3(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
 24 127N 1145W 50  X   8( 8)   7(15)   1(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 127N 1145W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 128N 1164W 34  X   9( 9)  37(46)  13(59)   5(64)   1(65)   X(65)
 36 128N 1164W 50  X   1( 1)  12(13)   8(21)   2(23)   1(24)   X(24)
 36 128N 1164W 64  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
 48 129N 1182W 34  X   1( 1)  18(19)  26(45)  17(62)   2(64)   1(65)
 48 129N 1182W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)   9(24)   1(25)   X(25)
 48 129N 1182W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)
 
 
 72 130N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)  29(42)  11(53)   2(55)
 72 130N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   6(22)   1(23)
 72 130N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)
 
 
 96 130N 1235W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  18(35)   6(41)
 96 130N 1235W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   3(14)
 96 130N 1235W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
 
120 135N 1265W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  11(13)   9(22)
120 135N 1265W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
120 135N 1265W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     35     45      55      65      80      80      75
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
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