Hurricane DANIEL

ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE DANIEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP052006
1500 UTC WED JUL 19 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 119.6W AT 19/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 119.6W AT 19/1500Z
AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N 119.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 12.0N 120.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 12.4N 122.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 12.8N 123.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 13.2N 125.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 14.0N 129.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  90SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 14.8N 133.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 16.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N 119.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/STEWART
 
 
NNNN