Hurricane CARLOTTA
ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE CARLOTTA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042006
0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CARLOTTA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
ISLA CLARION 34 61 28(89) 1(90) 1(91) X(91) X(91) X(91)
ISLA CLARION 50 9 38(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49)
ISLA CLARION 64 3 17(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 184N 1136W 34 95 2(97) 1(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
12 184N 1136W 50 61 12(73) X(73) 1(74) X(74) X(74) X(74)
12 184N 1136W 64 35 8(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43)
24 185N 1155W 34 19 52(71) 7(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) X(79)
24 185N 1155W 50 1 27(28) 6(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34)
24 185N 1155W 64 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
36 186N 1174W 34 2 18(20) 26(46) 6(52) 2(54) X(54) X(54)
36 186N 1174W 50 X 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
36 186N 1174W 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 188N 1193W 34 X 3( 3) 12(15) 13(28) 6(34) 1(35) X(35)
48 188N 1193W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 188N 1193W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
72 195N 1225W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 11(15) 3(18) X(18)
72 195N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
72 195N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1250W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10)
96 200N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 200N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 205N 1275W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
120 205N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 205N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 70 60 50 45 40 30 20
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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