Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
200 AM PDT WED JUL 12 2006
 
...THIRD TROPICAL STORM OF THE YEAR FORMS SOUTHWEST OF MEXICO...

AT 200 AM PDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.9 WEST OR ABOUT 330
MILES...530 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO AND ABOUT 290 MILES...
470 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO.
 
CARLOTTA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAR
OFFSHORE OF MEXICO.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

ALTHOUGH THE CENTER OF CARLOTTA IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A COUPLE
HUNDRED MILES OFFSHORE...THE LARGE CIRCULATION OF THIS SYSTEM WILL
SPREAD OUTER RAINBANDS ONSHORE THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO
TODAY. TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE MEXICAN
RIVIERA FROM PUERTO ESCONDIDO WESTWARD TO ZIHUATANEJO. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION...14.1 N...103.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
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