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Hurricane CARLOTTA (Text)

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
0900 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 116.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 116.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.9N 116.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 19.2N 117.9W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 19.3N 119.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 121.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.5N 123.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.5N 125.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 19.5N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 116.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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