Hurricane CARLOTTA

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
0900 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 112.8W AT 14/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 112.8W AT 14/0900Z
AT 14/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 112.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.2N 114.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.4N 116.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.6N 118.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.8N 120.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 19.0N 123.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.5N 125.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 20.0N 128.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N 112.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
 
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