Hurricane CARLOTTA

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 111.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 110.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 18.4N 113.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 18.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 18.6N 116.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 18.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 19.0N 122.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.5N 124.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 20.0N 127.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 111.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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