Hurricane CARLOTTA

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HURRICANE CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  981 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 125SE  75SW  75NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 108.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.9N 111.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 17.3N 112.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 18.0N 119.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 18.5N 122.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.5N 125.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 109.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
 
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