Tropical Storm CARLOTTA

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TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP042006
0900 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.9W AT 12/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  45SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 103.9W AT 12/0900Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 103.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 14.6N 105.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 15.4N 108.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  70 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.0N 110.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 17.0N 115.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...105NE 105SE  75SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 18.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 103.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB
 
 
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