ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006 0900 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 25N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 201N 1279W 34 66 8(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 12 201N 1279W 50 23 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 201N 1279W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 209N 1305W 34 X 22(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 24 209N 1305W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 209N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 215N 1331W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 36 215N 1331W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 215N 1331W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 218N 1357W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 218N 1357W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 218N 1357W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 220N 1410W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 72 220N 1410W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 72 220N 1410W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 220N 1460W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 96 220N 1460W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 96 220N 1460W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 220N 1505W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 220N 1505W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 220N 1505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 35 30 25 20 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC