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Hurricane BUD


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85   
KTS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 196N 1265W 34 84   7(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 12 196N 1265W 50 39  14(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 12 196N 1265W 64 17   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
 24 205N 1290W 34  1  49(50)   6(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 24 205N 1290W 50  X  14(14)   3(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 24 205N 1290W 64  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 212N 1316W 34  X   3( 3)  17(20)   5(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 36 212N 1316W 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 36 212N 1316W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 216N 1343W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 48 216N 1343W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 216N 1343W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 220N 1395W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 72 220N 1395W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 220N 1395W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 220N 1445W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 96 220N 1445W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 96 220N 1445W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 220N 1490W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
120 220N 1490W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 220N 1490W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     50      35      30      20      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC