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Hurricane BUD


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13                   
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95   
KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/HR.                                          
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 192N 1254W 34 88   6(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)   X(94)
 12 192N 1254W 50 44  14(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
 12 192N 1254W 64 27   8(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
 24 203N 1283W 34  1  54(55)   7(62)   1(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)
 24 203N 1283W 50  X  18(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 24 203N 1283W 64  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 36 212N 1311W 34  X   3( 3)  22(25)   5(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 36 212N 1311W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 36 212N 1311W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 220N 1338W 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   3(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 220N 1338W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 220N 1338W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 225N 1390W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 72 225N 1390W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 72 225N 1390W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 225N 1440W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 96 225N 1440W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 225N 1440W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 220N 1485W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
120 220N 1485W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
120 220N 1485W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     75     55      40      30      25      20      20
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                


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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC