ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006 2100 UTC WED JUL 12 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 172N 1193W 34 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 12 172N 1193W 50 70 12(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 12 172N 1193W 64 36 16(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 184N 1220W 34 1 72(73) 11(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) 24 184N 1220W 50 X 40(40) 11(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 24 184N 1220W 64 X 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) 36 195N 1246W 34 X 6( 6) 48(54) 7(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62) 36 195N 1246W 50 X 1( 1) 22(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 36 195N 1246W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 201N 1267W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 18(34) 6(40) X(40) X(40) 48 201N 1267W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) 48 201N 1267W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 210N 1310W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) 1(16) 72 210N 1310W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 72 210N 1310W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) 96 210N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 210N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 210N 1390W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 120 210N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 210N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 85 75 65 50 40 30 30 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC