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Hurricane BUD
ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006
2100 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 117.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90
KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 172N 1193W 34 92 5(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
12 172N 1193W 50 70 12(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) X(82)
12 172N 1193W 64 36 16(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52)
24 184N 1220W 34 1 72(73) 11(84) X(84) X(84) X(84) X(84)
24 184N 1220W 50 X 40(40) 11(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
24 184N 1220W 64 X 16(16) 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
36 195N 1246W 34 X 6( 6) 48(54) 7(61) 1(62) X(62) X(62)
36 195N 1246W 50 X 1( 1) 22(23) 4(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
36 195N 1246W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
48 201N 1267W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 18(34) 6(40) X(40) X(40)
48 201N 1267W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13)
48 201N 1267W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
72 210N 1310W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 2(15) 1(16)
72 210N 1310W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
72 210N 1310W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 1350W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7)
96 210N 1350W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 210N 1350W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 210N 1390W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
120 210N 1390W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 210N 1390W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 85 75 65 50 40 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
NNNN
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