Tropical Storm BUD

ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD               
1500 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 143N 1138W 34 47  16(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 143N 1138W 50  5   2( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 12 143N 1138W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 148N 1153W 34  3  41(44)  10(54)   1(55)   1(56)   X(56)   X(56)
 24 148N 1153W 50  X   9( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 148N 1153W 64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 36 155N 1171W 34  X   8( 8)  32(40)  11(51)   2(53)   X(53)   X(53)
 36 155N 1171W 50  X   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 36 155N 1171W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 160N 1192W 34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  23(34)   9(43)   X(43)   1(44)
 48 160N 1192W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 48 160N 1192W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 169N 1225W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  16(22)   3(25)   1(26)
 72 169N 1225W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 72 169N 1225W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 172N 1262W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)
 96 172N 1262W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 172N 1262W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 170N 1298W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 170N 1298W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 170N 1298W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      55      45      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER ROTH/KIMBERLAIN 
                                                                    
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