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Tropical Storm BUD (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2              
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006               
0900 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR.                                         
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT                     
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY                    
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ISLA CLARION   34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
 HR POSITIONS  KT                                                   
                                                                    
 12 142N 1123W 34 43  20(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
 12 142N 1123W 50  5   3( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 142N 1123W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 148N 1137W 34  2  40(42)  11(53)   3(56)   1(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 24 148N 1137W 50  X   9( 9)   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 24 148N 1137W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 36 152N 1151W 34  X  12(12)  27(39)  12(51)   3(54)   X(54)   X(54)
 36 152N 1151W 50  X   1( 1)  10(11)   4(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 36 152N 1151W 64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 48 158N 1171W 34  X   2( 2)   9(11)  23(34)  13(47)   X(47)   1(48)
 48 158N 1171W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 48 158N 1171W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 72 170N 1210W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  25(28)   8(36)   1(37)
 72 170N 1210W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)
 72 170N 1210W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
 
 96 175N 1245W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  11(17)   2(19)
 96 175N 1245W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)
 96 175N 1245W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
120 175N 1280W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
120 175N 1280W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
120 175N 1280W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     40     45      50      55      60      50      35
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC