ZCZC MIAPWSEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM BUD WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032006 0900 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BUD WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 142N 1123W 34 43 20(63) 2(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) 12 142N 1123W 50 5 3( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 142N 1123W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 148N 1137W 34 2 40(42) 11(53) 3(56) 1(57) X(57) X(57) 24 148N 1137W 50 X 9( 9) 4(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 24 148N 1137W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 152N 1151W 34 X 12(12) 27(39) 12(51) 3(54) X(54) X(54) 36 152N 1151W 50 X 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 36 152N 1151W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 158N 1171W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 23(34) 13(47) X(47) 1(48) 48 158N 1171W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15) 48 158N 1171W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 170N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28) 8(36) 1(37) 72 170N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) 72 170N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 175N 1245W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 11(17) 2(19) 96 175N 1245W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 96 175N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 175N 1280W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 120 175N 1280W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 175N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 50 55 60 50 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB NNNN
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Page last modified: Monday, 11-Sep-2006 11:28:39 UTC