Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
2100 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 123.3W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 225NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 123.3W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 122.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.2N 125.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.3N 128.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 21.2N 131.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.0N 133.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N 139.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 22.5N 144.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 22.0N 148.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 123.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/LANDSEA
 
 
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