Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
1500 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.0W AT 13/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  962 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 150SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 122.0W AT 13/1500Z
AT 13/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 121.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.0N 124.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.1N 127.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 65NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 21.0N 129.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 21.5N 132.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 22.0N 138.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 22.0N 142.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 21.5N 146.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 122.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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