Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
0900 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.5W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 120.5W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 119.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.4N 122.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.5N 125.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 20.4N 128.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 20.9N 130.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 21.0N 135.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 21.0N 140.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 20.5N 144.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 120.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KNABB
 
 
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