Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
0300 UTC THU JUL 13 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 118.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 200SE 125SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 118.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 118.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 18.0N 120.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 19.1N 123.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 20.1N 125.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 20.7N 127.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 21.0N 132.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  50NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 21.0N 136.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 21.0N 139.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 118.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/BEVEN
 
 
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