Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
1500 UTC WED JUL 12 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 116.2W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 200SE 125SW 125NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.7N 116.2W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 115.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 16.4N 118.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.5N 120.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.4N 123.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 19.3N 125.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  25SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 20.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 20.0N 133.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 19.5N 137.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.7N 116.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MAINELLI/PASCH
 
 
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