Hurricane BUD

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HURRICANE BUD SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP032006
2230 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 113.1W AT 11/2230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.2N 113.1W AT 11/2230Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 112.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 14.8N 114.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 15.5N 116.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 16.3N 118.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 16.8N 120.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 124.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 17.0N 127.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.2N 113.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART/RHOME
 
 
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